Talking Economics
A blog dedicated to promoting an associative approach to economic life.
Wednesday, October 10, 2012
The Colours of Money Seminar
http://bit.ly/Rc9bHm
A weekend seminar including a standalone public lecture* 26-28 October 2012 / Stroud, England
“I really enjoyed the seminar over the weekend. Many things became clearer to me and at the same time the discussion led to many new questions and ideas to think about and digest.”
Derived from Rudolf Steiner’s contribution to economic and monetary history, The Colours of Money© seminar looks at the history and purpose of money and how it can be the main instrument for bringing about real and lasting change in our economic circumstances. Grounded in associative economics – an approach that covers many schools of thought, the seminar ranges from the problems of small businesses to larger questions of global finance and the power of corporations. Offering a radical yet concrete and in-depth approach to money in our times, it is presented using coloured chalk imagery on black paper, a technique intended to overcome the reputation of economics as a dismal science!
The seminar is presented by Arthur Edwards, an economist based in England who combines formal academic credentials with on-going research into associative economics and Rudolf Steiner’s work in particular. Cost: £150, excl. meals & accommodation (£125 if paid in full on or before 1st October.) Venue: The British School Hall, OpenHouse, Painswick Inn Courtyard, 1 Gloucester Street. GL5 1QG. Registration: Arthur Edwards: Tel: 01453 756728 / mail@arthuredwards.net / Mob: 07979 935359
* Friday 26th October 7:30-9:30pm: Beyond the Market - Beyond Banking: A public lecture exploring the origins, history and future of the market and the prospects for going beyond it.
Comments from previous participants:
“ … there's definitely a light switched on! ... Thank you for a really stimulating and engaging seminar. It has struck many a chord and has given me a shot of enthusiasm for going deeper into the ae perspective. … this is (for now) a brief note to express my thanks and to give you 'credit' for the great work ... This is just the sort of thing I need. I found the material on the course very exciting ... We very much appreciated your seminar and the work you are doing … I will be suggesting to my colleagues that we engage again with you .... I hope everyone enjoyed the seminar as much as I did. I thought the ideas were really important.”
Thursday, May 03, 2012
Spiritual Remuneration
Has Modern Professionalism been Captured by Statism and Privatism?
I feel the need to post a caveat to anyone
feeling that they might just be able to glance through this and pick up the
gist: the thinking behind it is rather condensed and may require some
familiarity with the conceptual framework that informs Rudolf Steiner’s
economic thinking (though I believe the ideas stand by themselves). I have kept the short title ‘spiritual remuneration’ because
I couldn’t think of a better one, but it may be misleading … a more clunky
title might be more descriptive ‘how to pay for people whose work is not
focused on physical production’. Oh ... and it is rather long!
Intro
In the previous post I described the need to
make a distinction between goods, rights and ideas. When one does this, it
becomes apparent that if one were to describe things accurately one would see
that it is only goods that are actually sold. In what follows, the description
is ‘as if’, which is to say it looks counterfactual, but the phenomenon
observed is the same one, thus prompting the question “which description is
truer? The conventional consensus or the ‘counterfactual’ explanation”. Can
human labour (or anything other than a good) really be sold, notwithstanding
our certainty that we do that constantly? And if not, where does that leave
current explanations and the arrangements built on them?
Goods Are for Sale
Let us for now accept that only goods are
actually sold. Only those who produce tangible goods receive the remuneration
by which they can live, which is to say, in this scenario, they receive in
exchange the goods which they need. Everyone else will need to persuade the
producers of goods to share the proceeds of their work. Of course this is what
actually happens in as much as we all live from the tangible produce of the
world, not just those who actually produce it. How does this happen?
Background: an agricultural scenario
Let us begin with an archetypal self-contained
agricultural community and then see whether the underlying economic dynamic, as
it can be seen working there, is in fact any different from the circumstances
of today’s economic life.
Rights for Goods
The normal thing will be for people to expend
their labour agriculturally in order for the goods by which they live to be
produced. Anyone who is part of that community who is not spending his time
labouring and is therefore not engaged in production will need to live by what
the others produce. What he offers to the community will need to be recognised
as of value, for them to be willing to support him in this way. Priests,
doctors, educators, accountants, lawyers all fall into this category - they are
not directly productive, but work indirectly by developing the cultural life of
the population at large. They win ‘the right’ to share in the harvest by
virtue of the fact that there is recognition for the contribution they bring.
By their work, which involves not expending labour on land, but using their
intelligence to ‘improve’ labour, they gain rights which can be seen as
a form of token that can be used to claim goods.
Class and Category
This may begin to look like a class analysis -
manual workers and cultural workers - but this is not meant, even if there is
some correspondence (as also exists, for example, in the distinction between
trades and professions). A category analysis is intended, focusing not on the
person but the category of work, and with the added caveat that no work is
exclusively manual or intellectual, but each is a blend of both. In the same
way one can see that today trades and professions are no longer distinct. A tradesman
can work professionally and a professional can know the tricks of his trade.
There is an element of manual and intellectual application in every task.
Right and Might
To this crude picture could be added the fact
the governance arrangements may involve the deployment of force, or that those
who are primarily concerned with cultural production may, through their
spiritual psychological and physical aptitudes, dominate the manual workers,
whether benignly or malignly. The weakness or ignorance of the population, by
which it can be oppressed, might in itself be a sign that it lacks real
cultural development.
Rights Allocate Goods
In the foregoing scenario there was a transfer
of goods from those who directly produce them to those who, while they are not
themselves productive, play a role which is recognised by their community and
for this they receive the right to partake of the available harvest,
whether by gifts, tokens, or forceful commandeering. Before we go into detail, it should be
emphasised that though this description of labour (being expended on nature or
improved by intelligence) might appear like an artificial construct, it is in
fact the underlying reality upon which our economic relationships are based.
The same question today
The situation today may look quite different,
but the essential point remains: there are those who produce things and those
who do not; or work that is directly productive and work that is not directly
productive. When one grasps this simple though incontestable truth and sees
that a transfer must always occur between the two, then the question arises “
by what mechanism is this transfer made?”
How are resources (meaning goods in particular) transferred from those
who produce to those who do not (or at least not directly).
Modalities of transfer
Below I briefly describe various modalities of
transfer (perhaps overlapping) before asking what is appropriate in our time:
Forced Transfer
There is a gradation here between tribute,
protection and tax levies. In essence the transfer is involuntary and there may
not be anything offered in return, such as scutage (a kind of feudal
protection). The recognition of the right of the collector is that they have
the might to enforce their demand.
Customary Transfer
Where pure tradition operates, handing over
some of the proceeds of ones work is simply an aspect of normal practice.
Tithing often falls into this category.
Patronage
Although it is most often associated with the
wealthy benefactor (who has already accumulated the right of disposal of the
proceeds of the work of others), the principle is simply that one person
further the endeavours of another (normally artistic) by providing their means.
Whether there is a quid pro quo (such as ‘glorify me in your poems’) is
secondary.
Recognition of Mutual Advantage
When everyone in the community pays for the
doctor or the fire service, it is because they see that it is in their direct
interests to do so. It does not mean, however, that they expect to get sick or
have their house burned down - indeed the measure of the effectiveness of the
doctor might be that people do not get sick, or that their house does not burn
down.
Moral Obligation
The fact that one shares with those who cannot
produce may encompass everything from feeding elderly relatives to giving alms
to the poor.
State Allocation
The primary means by which all of the
reallocation described above is achieved today is through the state.
Independent from the State?
One might argue that there are plenty of people
whose work is almost entirely spiritual (meaning not expending labour on nature
toward producing a physical good) but who are completely independent from the
state. For example lawyers, doctors, bankers etc and everyone else today who
does not depend on monetary transfers from the state, but is nevertheless
engaged in intangible production.
The Ideal Independent
A person who works independently can either
sell what he produces (in which case he falls economically into the category of
a manual worker) or sustain himself by virtue of the fact that he is
pre-funded. We could either say that he receives unconditional donations or that
his work is pre-paid by a third party.
So if we look at those cultural workers who do
not fall into the above category but who are also not dependent on the state
for their direct income then the question still arises: by what means do they
receive their income? For the sake of clarity lets call this category ‘modern
professionals’
One-at-a-time private versus forever public
To provide some background to answering this
question, let us first of all look at the person on the furthest pole from the
agricultural worker, namely the researcher (aka scientist, thinker, inventor).
The point is to clarify what the essential feature of this kind of work is (it
is of course obvious that a farmer produces food and a builder produces
houses). Whereas the result of the
agriculturalist’s work is tangible
goods which are consumed ‘one at a time’ by ‘one-person-at-a-time’,
the result of the researcher’s work is new understanding and ideas. As should
be clear from the previous post, an idea is rather different from a good: it
cannot be sold, it can be shared by many people at once and it is enduring.
It can be seen from this that it is in the essential nature of cultural work to
create a public benefit, which is enduring (unlike bread) and not limited to
one person’s benefit (unlike bread).
Professional = Public
The better educated person (in the broad rather
than the narrow sense of education obviously) creates a benefit to society at
large through his enhanced capacities. Put another way, one can choose to use
one’s capacities for more or less societal benefit. I would make the further
argument that anyone who is part of a profession has entered a societal
compact, that is what being in a profession means: one undertakes a
responsibility to something higher than oneself, one professes this
responsibility (the origin of the word ‘professio’ indicates an avowal or
public declaration). In the religious context this is clear when one joins an
order, and the original professions were the church, law and medicine.
Two Compromises
In
most people’s minds modern professionals, as a group of people, far from having
the problem of having to wonder where their income is to come from, are faring
well. They do not have to scratch around for grant funding as a means of
acquiring rights to the proceeds of production. Why is this so?
In what follows I make the argument that they
have compromised in one (or perhaps both) of two ways: firstly by privatising
their activity (which is essentially a form of self-seeking) and secondly
by making a compact with the state which enables them to operate a
vested interest.
1) Privatising the Ideal
The argument I make is that the true profession
works in the the way described above, for humanity. In the modern context
however (and perhaps it was ever so), professionals are likely to see their
work not so much in terms of their professional ethos and mission but in terms
of how they provide a private benefit to their clients. Their expertise is for
sale. By providing a private benefit rather than a public benefit, they reveal
that the primary intended beneficiary of their work is themselves and they
tailor their work to suit the will of the person who funds it, rather than
remaining independent from the funding.
2. The States Handmaiden
The kind of work that modern professionals do
tends to mean that they operate ‘under licence’ from the state, whether as
doctors, lawyers or bankers etc. Banking is a good example of this - banking
services can only be offered under the jurisdiction of the state. The consequence
of this is that the money system (which is really a banking / bookkeeping
system) becomes a thing of the state. Given that these essential services are
licensed (directly or indirectly from the state), this creates a guaranteed
source of income for those working in this area.
Another aspect of this is that the services
offered by modern professionals tend to be required by the state in various
forms. When a house is built the state requires certain certificates and
regulatory compliance with its building practises. This creates a guaranteed
source of income for those working in this area.
Another aspect is that the training in these
areas is commonly not only prescribed by the state (in terms of standards) but
funded by it. The result is that there is a form of cultural closed shop. For
those who adopt the culture which the state furthers, they have better access
to the positions that they will then go on to occupy. A trivial example might
be a museum curator.
Jobs for the boys
While the modern professional economy is
nominally independent, all of these factors operating together create a jobs
for the boys culture which avails itself both of the self-seeking aspects of
human nature which is epitomised in selling private benefits and of the kings’
shilling phenomenon whereby would-be, or should-be, independent professionals
are actually in hoc at some level to the state. The more willing we are
to sell our own ethos for an income the less we can see that the necessary (but
intangible) things we all have to bring could be funded otherwise. When
everybody is ‘at it’ then nobody gets a choice in the matter!
Independent and Mutual Economy
Instead of an economy powered by the logic of
privatisation (self-seeking) and external authority (the state) we need an
economy of mutuality and independence. This can occur when we realise that
applying the tangible model to the intangible realm does not work. So when
musicians could sell records piece by piece, that was fine. But when their
music becomes separable from the medium in which sell it (by digitisation etc)
a problem arises which never arises with a loaf of bread. The problem stems
from the fact that the intangible operates differently to the tangible. The
logic of the intangible virtually forces us to see that the economics of bread
is not the same as that of music.
In the former case the benefit goes to the
individual consumer (and the producer receives a direct token in recompense per
item). In the latter case the benefit is not restricted to one person and
because the value cannot be tied down in a tangible item, the producer cannot
secure recompense on a piece by piece basis.
The solution we have adopted to date is to
attempt to shoe horn the economics of the intangible into the tangible. This
has not worked (or is only working to the extent that we have massive licensing
operations). The fact that we treat the intangible realm as if it were a
version of the tangible may go some way to explaining the reason why we do
things the way we do them today (thinking we are paying people for their
labour, to name but one example) but it does not mean that the intangible world
thereby becomes a version of the tangible, adopting its logic and so forth.
At some point the penny needs to drop or better
said the light needs to come on … we pay for bread by buying it (typically after
it has been produced), we pay for everything that makes bread possible (which
is to say our broader cultural life) by pre-paying the people whose work
is concerned with cultural development whether artists, researchers, thinkers,
priests, accountants etc … Then they will find their true vocations and realise
that their work is for humanity and we will realise that we are the
beneficiaries of what they do. Our age has reached the acme of individualism,
now we need to remember that we are societal creatures too and for our
continued development must look to what we owe.
In Summary
- Professionals (aka spiritual workers) are all those who do not produce physical goods
- By its nature their work is humanity wide.
- Because they cannot finance their life from free donations, allowing them to do their work independently, they end up doing the bidding of either the state or whoever pays them (which of course is different from working where they see the needs are).
- The professional ethos is thereby compromised by the role of the state and the role of private money (which is proxy for the will of the funder).
- Anyone wishing to undertake a form of work that does not result in tangible goods for sale will be challenged to institute a form of remuneration that leaves them free to follow the intuition of their calling.
The degree to which society at large is able to create
such ‘free’ arrangements is perhaps a measure of something, as too is the
degree to which they are absent. I am convinced that a recognition of this phenomenon would go some way toward unravelling the muddled thinking that is behind the current crisis.
Tuesday, May 01, 2012
Of Apples and Ideas
This posting is a prelude to an exploration of how society provides recompense for the production of goods in comparison to how other work is afforded.
Modern economics (and society at large) treats goods, rights and ideas as if there were no difference between them. They are allocated according to the market, which is to say there is a bidding process mediated by the price mechanism.
There is of course a difference: goods are produced for consumption, rights are the means by which relationships are mediated (1) and ideas orientate our consciousness. The question is whether this difference should affect the way we treat them - do we need to allocate rights differently to the way in which we allocate apples. In order to address this it may help to point out that how we describe things may in itself help or hinder our understanding by clarifying or obfuscating the arrangement we think we have in place.
Goods: Apples / Cars / Houses?
Take the example of the difference between an apple and a car. While it may appear that both are goods, a car is more constrained by the rights life than an apples is (where one can park it, how fast one can drive it etc). Although the difference may not appear distinct, one should be able to see that in buying an apple one is not receiving a right so much as taking a good into ones possession for consumption; with a car, by contrast, one could argue that one is acquiring the exclusive right of use of the vehicle.
Now consider the difference between a car and a house: when one buys a car one doesn’t expect to be able to keep it on the forecourt of the showroom, nor to be able to live in it; when one buys a house the expectation is that one has bought not just the bricks and mortar but the right for it to remain on the land on which it stands. In reality one is buying the right of exclusive use but also taking on the obligation to maintain it and pay property taxes etc.
Rights of all kinds
Different kinds of rights are treated differently. For example, land rights can be passed on in perpetuity (as long as they can be asserted) where as copyright expires after a period of approximately a lifetime. It is not just because the object of one is tangible and the other is intangible: shares (which are rights connected with corporations) are also not usually subject to expiry. Other kinds of rights, such as the right to free speech or electoral voting rights, are non-transferable and non-saleable.
Ideas
When one moves to the realm of ideas it soon becomes clear that these by their nature are non-transferable, an idea can be shared but this is no guarantee that it will be understood. Ideas cannot be owned and there is no protection in law for them - it will always come down to a matter of design, or application or right of use. If they could then the idea of calculus would be someone’s property
How do the economics of ideas operate then? A mathematician has mathematical ideas, but somebody wanting to learn about mathematics would not simply be able to buy the ideas. They could try to learn themselves and once understood make use of them; in this context the mathematician could help them learn by bringing ‘insights’. People with expertise can provide their insight.
A physical good can be sold: its significance is mediated by possession and consumption.
A right, which is afforded by the community to individuals, can be treated as if it were a good but it has more the quality of a license. We differentiate between rights by treating some more like goods (land rights) and some more like social relationships (the right to trial before a jury).
An idea, when grasped, can be shared but not bought. The person providing insights can be paid, but the idea was not thereby bought. There is no ownership of ideas.
Wednesday, April 25, 2012
Financial Schizophrenia - The Fallacy of Decomposition
I recently wrote critically about the fallacy of composition, meaning the idea that individual ‘economic’ acts do not add up to social economy because what is true for a part may not be true for the whole.
To make the question live, lets consider the current practices and arrangements in relation to financial literacy. Surely it is axiomatic that an economy consisting of financially literate people will be a healthy economy … indeed one way of defining what financial literacy essentially consists in would be to say that it is the understanding which leads to socially functional financial behaviour. Put the other way round, the global financial crisis must be a reflection of our societal financial illiteracy.
Unfortunately this logic is not applied among those for whom such considerations ought to be paramount. Instead the operating thesis is simply as follows: financially literate individuals are those who cleverly use their understanding of current arrangements to ensure the best outcome for themselves. But best here means best on an individual level, in isolation from wider events, and based on the idea of saving the most (which is tantamount to capital valued in the abstract). On the societal level a completely other set of considerations are thought to come into play. Responsibility for keeping the whole show on the road is given to policy makers who, notwithstanding the narrow perspective of this view of financial literacy, have to put matters rights when the actions of individuals don’t add up, normally this involves legislating, regulating, penalising and reallocating resources. The same person might in his private life be pursuing ‘policies’ who natural consequences on a societal level will be financial turmoil, while in an official capacity endeavouring to apply the correctives that allow society to avoid breakdown. Can this really be called financial literacy? Isn’t this just financial schizophrenia? Its like throwing rubbish onto the street and then being outraged by the mess there, while at the same time declaring that the responsibility for keeping streets clear of litter cannot be undertaken by anyone but an officially designated street warden.
So what kind of financial literacy would really add up to a whole? More to the point is whether an expanded conception of what it means to be financially literate is beyond humanity-at-large. You would be surprised about how many people, when responding to this question, reveal that such matters are beyond ordinary people. My response is that not so long ago writing was considered beyond ordinary folk, but as soon as people were given the opportunity to learn (and literacy became part of the curriculum) the consensus changed, so is it really so far-fetched to imagine that in the not so distant future we will all be able to practise double-entry bookkeeping based on the balance sheets of our own situations?
To make the question live, lets consider the current practices and arrangements in relation to financial literacy. Surely it is axiomatic that an economy consisting of financially literate people will be a healthy economy … indeed one way of defining what financial literacy essentially consists in would be to say that it is the understanding which leads to socially functional financial behaviour. Put the other way round, the global financial crisis must be a reflection of our societal financial illiteracy.
Unfortunately this logic is not applied among those for whom such considerations ought to be paramount. Instead the operating thesis is simply as follows: financially literate individuals are those who cleverly use their understanding of current arrangements to ensure the best outcome for themselves. But best here means best on an individual level, in isolation from wider events, and based on the idea of saving the most (which is tantamount to capital valued in the abstract). On the societal level a completely other set of considerations are thought to come into play. Responsibility for keeping the whole show on the road is given to policy makers who, notwithstanding the narrow perspective of this view of financial literacy, have to put matters rights when the actions of individuals don’t add up, normally this involves legislating, regulating, penalising and reallocating resources. The same person might in his private life be pursuing ‘policies’ who natural consequences on a societal level will be financial turmoil, while in an official capacity endeavouring to apply the correctives that allow society to avoid breakdown. Can this really be called financial literacy? Isn’t this just financial schizophrenia? Its like throwing rubbish onto the street and then being outraged by the mess there, while at the same time declaring that the responsibility for keeping streets clear of litter cannot be undertaken by anyone but an officially designated street warden.
So what kind of financial literacy would really add up to a whole? More to the point is whether an expanded conception of what it means to be financially literate is beyond humanity-at-large. You would be surprised about how many people, when responding to this question, reveal that such matters are beyond ordinary people. My response is that not so long ago writing was considered beyond ordinary folk, but as soon as people were given the opportunity to learn (and literacy became part of the curriculum) the consensus changed, so is it really so far-fetched to imagine that in the not so distant future we will all be able to practise double-entry bookkeeping based on the balance sheets of our own situations?
Tuesday, April 24, 2012
Global Economy or The Fallacy of Composition? A threshold question.
Global Economy - the single closed economic domain that humanity inhabits
The Fallacy of Composition - the fallacy of inferring that a property of parts or members of a whole is also a property of the whole
When a university supervisor argued that my thinking was flawed because I had failed to take account of the fallacy of composition, she meant that an individual cannot act in a social way because what is ‘social’ for the individual is not ‘social’ for society. Individuals ‘economic’ acts do not add up to a functional economy because what is true for the part is not true for the whole. It is easy to see how she arrived at this reasoning. The individual takes account of his own circumstances but in order to reckon with wider circumstances, one needs to move a level ‘up’ and in so doing the logic by which events operate may change. Seen from the logic of an individual perspective, one course of action seems appropriate; seen from the logic of a societal perspective a different course is needed.The argument is an old one in economics, going back to Mandeville’s Fable of the Bees and particularly emphasised by Keynes’ Paradox of Thrift.
The the fallacy of composition focuses on an interesting phenomenon. What is it that shifts when one changes ones perspective from a purely individual to a societal perspective and how in fact does one do this (if indeed one can), given that there is a threshold of some kind that the fallacy of composition identifies. The fallacy relies on the idea that the two perspectives are incommensurable.
It is probably obvious that I do not accept the assumptions of those who use the so-called fallacy to argue that individuals must necessarily behave in a way that is societally anti-social, though I understand that this is often used a stick with which to beat the marketeers.
But why mention it at all?
The rounds of ‘austerity’ which European states are seeking to impose and the arguments about their effectiveness are gradually bringing the point home that the consequence of everybody being ‘austere’ at the same time will not be a ‘saving’ for everybody. My saving will be your lost income and vice versa. Economically speaking it does not make sense to act according to oneself only, one needs to look at how one’s actions affect the larger picture and then think how those greater circumstances will, in turn, play back into one’s own.
The circumstances alluded to are primarily financial, that is to say they relate to our expectations of future events and there is a reflexive relationship at work here. George Soros, though he does not claim to be the originator of the idea, is the great proponent of reflexivity; you can hear him describing it here, for example. The essential point is that we are thinking participants in economic life and it is our thinking that will shape the economic landscape we are attempting to take hold of. The objectivity that one finds inherent in natural phenomena is found to be subjectively co-determined in the economic realm.
So who is on the other side of this reflexive relationship? With whom does one need to do metaphorical business. The simple answer is: everybody else! On the other side of each individuals economic activity is the global economy - not local or even national economy. The problem for proponents of the fallacy of composition in economic life is that between the two worlds is a knowledge threshold. The individual is held not to be able to do more than represent his own essentially ‘private’ perspective. The conventional solution is to bring in either the market or the state as the compensating element. In the first case, the selfishness of the individual is held in check by everybody else’s selfish activity and the whole result is, if not social, the best moderation of selfishness achievable. For those who deprecate the market and therefore champion the state, the selfish individual must be regulated by the oversight of those who can take a societal perspective because they represent, not their own interests, but a democratic mandate to socialise the individual. We are then left with two choices - global markets representing the aggregated myopia of individual selfishness or a global state (for such is concerted economic governance by treaties between states) representing the views of those who call themselves leaders and would regulate others.
But is the idea so far-fetched that an individual might choose to adopt a societal perspective, not instead of a purely individual one but as a complement to it? Do we not just need to step out of our own circumstances and see our actions from the perspective of the effects they will have on others too? Furthermore, can this be done alone or does it need to happen in association with others?
That may sound like a moral injunction but one could also ask whether in fact that is not the conclusion that one is forced to come to when one begins to look at the world in terms of balance sheets. Balance sheets are meaningless until they are related to the wider circumstances in which they find their correspondences. But as soon as they are placed in such an interconnected context they afford the closest representation we can conceive of what constitutes economic reality, a reality that can be seen both from within one’s own point of view and looked at from outside, as it appears to others.
It may not be ‘rocket science’ but there is a little ‘magic’ in the way we touch on this ever shifting boundary that we experience between ourselves and economic life at large. It is not fairy dust or magic wands we need to reveal to ourselves how this threshold is to be negotiated, but the simple expedient of accounting, used as an instrument of economic perception and providing us with the possibility to perceive both individually and through a ‘social brain’.
Yes we have the choice to act in isolation, but increasingly those who think in such terms will be challenged to maintain the reality of the world they think they live in.
The Fallacy of Composition - the fallacy of inferring that a property of parts or members of a whole is also a property of the whole
When a university supervisor argued that my thinking was flawed because I had failed to take account of the fallacy of composition, she meant that an individual cannot act in a social way because what is ‘social’ for the individual is not ‘social’ for society. Individuals ‘economic’ acts do not add up to a functional economy because what is true for the part is not true for the whole. It is easy to see how she arrived at this reasoning. The individual takes account of his own circumstances but in order to reckon with wider circumstances, one needs to move a level ‘up’ and in so doing the logic by which events operate may change. Seen from the logic of an individual perspective, one course of action seems appropriate; seen from the logic of a societal perspective a different course is needed.The argument is an old one in economics, going back to Mandeville’s Fable of the Bees and particularly emphasised by Keynes’ Paradox of Thrift.
The the fallacy of composition focuses on an interesting phenomenon. What is it that shifts when one changes ones perspective from a purely individual to a societal perspective and how in fact does one do this (if indeed one can), given that there is a threshold of some kind that the fallacy of composition identifies. The fallacy relies on the idea that the two perspectives are incommensurable.
It is probably obvious that I do not accept the assumptions of those who use the so-called fallacy to argue that individuals must necessarily behave in a way that is societally anti-social, though I understand that this is often used a stick with which to beat the marketeers.
But why mention it at all?
The rounds of ‘austerity’ which European states are seeking to impose and the arguments about their effectiveness are gradually bringing the point home that the consequence of everybody being ‘austere’ at the same time will not be a ‘saving’ for everybody. My saving will be your lost income and vice versa. Economically speaking it does not make sense to act according to oneself only, one needs to look at how one’s actions affect the larger picture and then think how those greater circumstances will, in turn, play back into one’s own.
The circumstances alluded to are primarily financial, that is to say they relate to our expectations of future events and there is a reflexive relationship at work here. George Soros, though he does not claim to be the originator of the idea, is the great proponent of reflexivity; you can hear him describing it here, for example. The essential point is that we are thinking participants in economic life and it is our thinking that will shape the economic landscape we are attempting to take hold of. The objectivity that one finds inherent in natural phenomena is found to be subjectively co-determined in the economic realm.
So who is on the other side of this reflexive relationship? With whom does one need to do metaphorical business. The simple answer is: everybody else! On the other side of each individuals economic activity is the global economy - not local or even national economy. The problem for proponents of the fallacy of composition in economic life is that between the two worlds is a knowledge threshold. The individual is held not to be able to do more than represent his own essentially ‘private’ perspective. The conventional solution is to bring in either the market or the state as the compensating element. In the first case, the selfishness of the individual is held in check by everybody else’s selfish activity and the whole result is, if not social, the best moderation of selfishness achievable. For those who deprecate the market and therefore champion the state, the selfish individual must be regulated by the oversight of those who can take a societal perspective because they represent, not their own interests, but a democratic mandate to socialise the individual. We are then left with two choices - global markets representing the aggregated myopia of individual selfishness or a global state (for such is concerted economic governance by treaties between states) representing the views of those who call themselves leaders and would regulate others.
But is the idea so far-fetched that an individual might choose to adopt a societal perspective, not instead of a purely individual one but as a complement to it? Do we not just need to step out of our own circumstances and see our actions from the perspective of the effects they will have on others too? Furthermore, can this be done alone or does it need to happen in association with others?
That may sound like a moral injunction but one could also ask whether in fact that is not the conclusion that one is forced to come to when one begins to look at the world in terms of balance sheets. Balance sheets are meaningless until they are related to the wider circumstances in which they find their correspondences. But as soon as they are placed in such an interconnected context they afford the closest representation we can conceive of what constitutes economic reality, a reality that can be seen both from within one’s own point of view and looked at from outside, as it appears to others.
It may not be ‘rocket science’ but there is a little ‘magic’ in the way we touch on this ever shifting boundary that we experience between ourselves and economic life at large. It is not fairy dust or magic wands we need to reveal to ourselves how this threshold is to be negotiated, but the simple expedient of accounting, used as an instrument of economic perception and providing us with the possibility to perceive both individually and through a ‘social brain’.
Yes we have the choice to act in isolation, but increasingly those who think in such terms will be challenged to maintain the reality of the world they think they live in.
The Money Saving Muddle - Part 2
While I accept that anyone on a limited budget will want to make every penny count, the ‘money-saving’ culture is about something else also. It represents an almost obsessive religious fervour with paying the least one can, for the sake of it. And it is this principle, as a principle, (not the constraints faced by somebody who is hard-up), that, although it masquerades as prudence, actually masks a brutal kind of egotism.
For what does the money-saving idea exemplify other than that one prefers to keep rather than share one’s resources, that the ‘money’ does not go to the other person but stays with oneself. To put it more radically it is the principle of impoverishing one’s neighbours, whether they are the producers, whose hard work goes into making goods available, or one’s fellow shoppers who must by logic pay more every time you pay less for a group-buy, a voucher or some deal.
I was therefore pleased to note when recently one of the money-saving sites had the following to say:
What is the effect of low-pricing? One just needs to look around one at the high-streets today which are occupied by ‘money-saving’ chains, or compare the quality of goods bought now to good produced 50 years ago. What happened to all that ‘money’ that was saved? It has made day to day life much more expensive because the land has been mortgaged … think the process through, or track it out in the accounts, and you will see to what extent the prices we pay today are a reflection of a need to make repayments on loans that were taken out at a level pressured by the need to lend ‘saved’ money at interest!
True Prices
When we feel confident that our needs will be met from the future then we can let go in the present what has come from the past. Then the rain will come. We need circulation not stagnant dams and parched deserts. We will be glad to pay the true price for what we buy, the price that the other person can really live from, knowing that when we ask for what we need, he will be thinking the same way.
For what does the money-saving idea exemplify other than that one prefers to keep rather than share one’s resources, that the ‘money’ does not go to the other person but stays with oneself. To put it more radically it is the principle of impoverishing one’s neighbours, whether they are the producers, whose hard work goes into making goods available, or one’s fellow shoppers who must by logic pay more every time you pay less for a group-buy, a voucher or some deal.
I was therefore pleased to note when recently one of the money-saving sites had the following to say:
the higher costs for funding the vouchers are merely displaced, pushed on to those without internet access or the time to take advantage. …Vouchers have also killed spontaneity - drop in to Pizza Express on a whim, without vouchers, and you effectively pay a surcharge, a rule that now applies to vast swathes of consumer life in the UK. … just when I thought there was nothing more to dislike about money-saving vouchers, one of our journalist discovered this: Online money savers wreck charity bake plans by exploiting 'free bread for a year' offer I have a hope that this whole coupon rush is just a fad, some nightmarish, misguided consumer experiment that will run it's course.
What is the effect of low-pricing? One just needs to look around one at the high-streets today which are occupied by ‘money-saving’ chains, or compare the quality of goods bought now to good produced 50 years ago. What happened to all that ‘money’ that was saved? It has made day to day life much more expensive because the land has been mortgaged … think the process through, or track it out in the accounts, and you will see to what extent the prices we pay today are a reflection of a need to make repayments on loans that were taken out at a level pressured by the need to lend ‘saved’ money at interest!
True Prices
When we feel confident that our needs will be met from the future then we can let go in the present what has come from the past. Then the rain will come. We need circulation not stagnant dams and parched deserts. We will be glad to pay the true price for what we buy, the price that the other person can really live from, knowing that when we ask for what we need, he will be thinking the same way.
Monday, April 23, 2012
I-Work - a response
Simon Luke Breslaw responded as follows to my recent post - it’s quite long so I am posting his response and then adding my comments in the comment box. Overall Simon seems to add weight to my argument by showing how entrepreneurs and employees are differently related to the work they undertake, if employees were to become entrepreneurs there is no reason why they wouldn’t work in partnership to create productive associations, even still using the framework of the company
Very nicely argued, Arthur! I'm [not] totally convinced though. Are the activities of entrepreneurs not distinct from those of employees, regardless of whether the individual employee has undergone a change in perspective or not? To my mind, entrepreneurs work with capital in a realm of freedom, free from hierarchy and with the aim of realising new business ideas. Their progress towards realising these ideas is measured by the balance sheet.
In contrast, employees operate within in a realm of solidarity, where their work contributions are made possible (at least in a world where income security is not an issue) through their willingness to be associated with the aims of an existing business. Although employees are free to choose whether or not to be associated with the activities of an existing business, the terms of that association (or employment) must be such that the employee agrees to abide by certain organisational rules and organisational hierarchy in regard to decision-making and their work contributions. The organisational rules, although negotiable, are determined by the needs of the company and what the company feels that a particular employee is able to offer. I can't see an aeroplane factory operating in any other way.
Employees do not have the freedom to tell the company what they want to contribute because if their demands do not tally with the aims of the company, they simply won't be hired or they will be fired. In other words, it's the explicit objectives of the company that are capitalised, not necessarily the personal aims of the employee. This helps to take the egotism out of both the entrepreneur's and the employee's aims by socialising them.
Through their employment, employees endorse the aims of the company. Employees agree to help realise the company's aims by partially subjugating their own aims. In an ideal world this would happen out of a spirit of solidarity, as opposed to the need to secure an income. There may be many cases where an employee's personal aims fully match that of the company, I admit. However, the progress an employee makes towards realising his or her personal aims is not measured by a balance sheet but by a large set of other variables, including non-financial variables. An income is merely the prerequisite that enables individuals to realise their personal aims. My personal aim might be to go climbing in the mountains as much as possible. Unless I agree to the rules and objectives of the Alpine Club that has hired me as a mountain guide, I won't be able to realise my non-financial aim of climbing mountains as often as possible because I won't be employed and therefore won't secure an income.
Employment can be a positive thing in helping to curb the egotistical objectives of individuals by forcing them to subjugate their own aims to the social aims of an organisation. Depending on the perspective and situation of the employee, this subjugation may be forced or agreed to voluntarily out of an enlightened social understanding.
The Money Saving Muddle
I recently received a letter from the local council informing me that rather than regularly sending letters by post they would like to notify me of certain information by email. They then invited me to help them ‘save money’ in this way. But what were they really saving? If they had said they would like to save resources, or save paper, or save the postman’s time, this would have been understandable but in their muddle of monetary thinking they are no doubt convinced that it is ‘money’ they are saving, whatever that might be!
From an individual’s perspective such an aspiration might appear to make sense but from a societal perspective it does not add up. A visitor from another planet, upon being told that humanity was embarking on a money saving exercise would hardly know what this meant. A local council is surely representative of society as a whole (rather than one entity I competition with others). Economists often talk about this with the tag-line ‘the fallacy of composition’ but another way to describe it would be to point out that if humanity were to consolidate its balance sheets the monetary components would all cancel each other out. Society, aka, humanity cannot save money. Anyone (be it an individual or an organisation) representing a societal point of view, should not therefore be talking of saving money because all they can mean is that it should be in one persons ‘pocket / account’ rather than another’s. It may have changed location but nothing else has changed … or been saved. Why this talk of, this addiction to, the notion of saving money?
Can we not strike out the abstraction and be concrete again - save resources, save effort, save time even … but don’t say that because the ‘money’ is in your pocket rather than someone elses, that it has been saved!
From an individual’s perspective such an aspiration might appear to make sense but from a societal perspective it does not add up. A visitor from another planet, upon being told that humanity was embarking on a money saving exercise would hardly know what this meant. A local council is surely representative of society as a whole (rather than one entity I competition with others). Economists often talk about this with the tag-line ‘the fallacy of composition’ but another way to describe it would be to point out that if humanity were to consolidate its balance sheets the monetary components would all cancel each other out. Society, aka, humanity cannot save money. Anyone (be it an individual or an organisation) representing a societal point of view, should not therefore be talking of saving money because all they can mean is that it should be in one persons ‘pocket / account’ rather than another’s. It may have changed location but nothing else has changed … or been saved. Why this talk of, this addiction to, the notion of saving money?
Can we not strike out the abstraction and be concrete again - save resources, save effort, save time even … but don’t say that because the ‘money’ is in your pocket rather than someone elses, that it has been saved!
Thursday, April 19, 2012
The Demonisation of Debt
Don’t look at pornography and don’t get into debt is good advice from any parent, surely? But how much scrutiny can such moral homilies stand? Indeed if there is anything that has unified politicians, economic commentators, and the general public at large it has been the ‘problem’ of debt; and there the matter is left to rest, as if we are at least all agreed on one thing.
But stop! While debt may be inappropriate in certain circumstances, and from an individual perspective can be crippling, we need to look from an economy-wide perspective. Debt is of course just one side of a relationship, but we hear much less about the problem of credit, which is of course its corollary. Indeed the moral homily continues: spend less and save more. But what is saving but being a creditor and therefore being co-responsible for the debt that some other person is carrying. To be more forthright, we should place before our eyes the creditary nature of ‘saved’ money which is an accounting identity made explicit when one looks at bank balance sheets. The very banknote you carry in your pocket is the debt that someone else owes you. How virtuous is that?
Let’s put it another way. When I give classes on financial literacy I ask young people to draw up their balance sheets, as an exercise in trying to understand how a balance sheet shows the way in which we are related to the world around us. I ask them if they are carrying any debt and they normally say they are not. Then we talk about how future liabilities and the things we expect to have to pay for.
It becomes clear that although these may not have been made visible they do amount to quite a lot. For the most part these are things that we cannot avoid paying: tax, rent, insurance, food, medical costs etc. Or to take another example, as citizens of the country we are liable for the national debt, the bank bailout, the maintenance of the military-industrial-medical-educational complex. If a young person were to calculate their liabilities or monetised costs that they cannot reasonably avoid over the course of their lifetime would it still be true to say that they are not carrying debts. To put it another way, the young are already massively indebted, in large measure by virtue of the arrangements that preceding generations have put in place. So how fair is it, how much sense does it make then to turn around and tell them not to go into debt, while not at the same time understanding the dynamics of what one is describing oneself!
But stop! While debt may be inappropriate in certain circumstances, and from an individual perspective can be crippling, we need to look from an economy-wide perspective. Debt is of course just one side of a relationship, but we hear much less about the problem of credit, which is of course its corollary. Indeed the moral homily continues: spend less and save more. But what is saving but being a creditor and therefore being co-responsible for the debt that some other person is carrying. To be more forthright, we should place before our eyes the creditary nature of ‘saved’ money which is an accounting identity made explicit when one looks at bank balance sheets. The very banknote you carry in your pocket is the debt that someone else owes you. How virtuous is that?
Let’s put it another way. When I give classes on financial literacy I ask young people to draw up their balance sheets, as an exercise in trying to understand how a balance sheet shows the way in which we are related to the world around us. I ask them if they are carrying any debt and they normally say they are not. Then we talk about how future liabilities and the things we expect to have to pay for.
It becomes clear that although these may not have been made visible they do amount to quite a lot. For the most part these are things that we cannot avoid paying: tax, rent, insurance, food, medical costs etc. Or to take another example, as citizens of the country we are liable for the national debt, the bank bailout, the maintenance of the military-industrial-medical-educational complex. If a young person were to calculate their liabilities or monetised costs that they cannot reasonably avoid over the course of their lifetime would it still be true to say that they are not carrying debts. To put it another way, the young are already massively indebted, in large measure by virtue of the arrangements that preceding generations have put in place. So how fair is it, how much sense does it make then to turn around and tell them not to go into debt, while not at the same time understanding the dynamics of what one is describing oneself!
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